Markov chain analysis of the probability of days in a heat wave period

The impact of global climate change is also felt in Hungary. An undesirable effect (associated with rising temperatures) mainly the increase frequency, intensity, and length summer heat waves. In this respect, region Southern Great Plain Danube-Tisza Region are particularly endangered, but number wave days has increased throughout country recent decades. This study takes climatic data sets Baja into account, on basis, it gives probability that a particular day falls period. Based information we draw general conclusion about long-term characteristic Plain. mathematical model used research applies theory Markov chains, which relatively new statistical analysis.